Perhaps it is the most important application for weather forecasters because from the ensembles you can see not only the prediction of a model,
but how likely is this to happen. More members converge on a forecast, the greater is the possibility of verifying the prediction.
Meteoguru presents you with a completely dynamic way the ensembles ECMWF model for specific coutntries to one degree analysis,
for the variable of temperature to 850hpa. You can select the point of interest either with coordinates,
or graphically or by typing in your area that it concerns you. Passing the mouse over the diagram you can see the values of each member for the temperature to 850hpa
for the selected time. Also passing the mouse on the bottom you can isolate the run that you are interested in or you can remove members.
The diagram is depicted in detail (every 3 hours the first six days and 6 hours for the rest).
The model runs 50 members (run for 360 hours) and three additional members including the main run (run for 240 hours), the average number of members, and control run.
The update is 2 times in 24 hours and is available immediately after the run of the model.
Available for : Albania,Austria,Bosnia,Bulgaria,Croatia,FYROM,Greece,Hungary,Italy,Malta,Moldavia,Montenegro,Romania,Slovenia,Switzerland
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